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20121104
Search Results 0 to 11 of about 12 (some duplicates have been removed)
, not many obama signs. i think you will landslide ky. the polls show that. and i hate to say it, but even the preachers are preaching against obama and the pulpit. host: are you motivated to got to the polls? caller: yes. i am going to vote, but i think romney will win it. host: are they talking about issues you care about in kentucky. do you think there are focused too much on the swing states? caller: there probably focused too much on the swing states. but you would be lost republican administration. it was just a mess. we were losing like 800,000 jobs a month. and now we are coming back. i just think the economy is getting a lot better now under a democratic administration. host: i appreciate the call from kentucky this morning. i want to point out another facebook post. this from justin from the upstate new york area. he writes -- at least i am not bombarded with a negative campaign ads while i am watching jeopardy. let us go to rwanda from oklahoma on our line for republicans, how is the campaign playing out in a solidly red state of oklahoma? caller: yes, we are the reddest of the
last poll, just after the first debate -- is edging up, but obama has a steady lead. it is a democratic-leaning state these days. there has not been an awful lot of campaign activity in terms of action by the candidates. more important advertising -- they have not really targeted the state this year, unlike 2008 and the previous four cycles. host: there is an awful lot of advertising in the separate -- senate race, particularly by tom smith, the republican nominee. your polling shows that race is closer -- senator casey is still holding a lead of seven points over tom smith. what is happening in that race? caller: it is a simple matter of if you spend $17 million of your own money you can get hearing from people. senator caseous a member -- casey is a member of an institution that is not very popular these days, the congress. smith has gained traction just on the strength of his message. introducing himself to voters. that could be one of the surprises on election night. host: let's take this question today is -- two ways -- what can republicans read into the polling numbers? caller: on
and head. politico shows president obama with a one point advantage over governor romney in that poll. guest: most of the polling is converging on a close race. the gallup number with the five point advantage for governor romney is not far outside of that consensus. typically when you get down to the end of the campaign, you have the resolution of doubt. people are finally making up their mind. people go voting before election day. so the polling should get more consistent when you get this close to the election. if you look at all of the polling, you see it varying with in the normal margin for error, which is typically in the 3% or 4 percentage point range. host: this is physguy on twitter. guest: i disagree with that. we are in the bit business of promoting unbiased information. i think that social justice is best served by giving everybody in the population regardless of their income or education or race or age or experience in politics and equal opportunity to have their voice heard. pulling makes democracy what democracy is supposed to be. it gives people an equal voice in what
voted already. the polls are showing that obama is leading the early boat much like he did in 2008. that is an aberration from our part -- previous count. from previous elections before the 2008, typically, republicans won the early voting. we have had such a high volume now and the obama campaign is encouraging their supporters to vote early. we have seen a change in behavior when campaigns can take advantage of early voting to encourage their supporters and mobilize them over a longer period of time. that is was going on on the democrat side. if you look at the numbers, there are more republicans voting early ban in 2008. the romney campaign is not conceding the early vote as the mccain campaign did in 2008. we are seeing greater interest among republicans and we see level increases of democrats and republicans compared to 2008 in early voting. up to this point, when we look at the statistics, most of the people who have voted early so far were people who are very strong partisans and have registered with their local party. in ohio, we have data where we know that people have vot
. barack obama, if you look at the polling data, he has built a pretty significant lead among women voters. these are issues women care a lot about. barack obama is directly addressing them, directly saying, if you want your rights as a woman to plan your own life, your rights as a woman, to table to assert yourself, you better vote for me, because mitt romney will rein in those rights. that issue resonates very strongly around iowa. women voters can make a difference in this election. if you look at polling, the voters isong male pretty even. among women voters, barack obama has a pretty strong lead. this election in iowa and in many other states, i think, is going to be a turn out the game. can getan get thei -- who their voters to the polls on election day. barack obama, to say, i have a lead with women voters, so let's make sure we get them out on election day and let's give them a reason to show up. this is what he thinks is the reason women will show up and vote for employer. host: a story in the quad city times -- iowa is the focus of our conversation right now with my glover, a sen
with the picture voters, and they're still backing president obama. if you look at the polls, on average, the president is winning. he has maintained a small but steady lead. i think this year you will see a number similar to what we had in 2004 and not so much in 2008. that was a different year. a lot of people were so upset with george bush. the president will pull out and win next tuesday. i think the numbers will be closer to what they were in 2004. host: what is your handicap for the governor's race and the two contested congressional races in the state? guest: in the governor's race, the democratic canada has maintained a small but said to lead in the polls. she has been out there campaigning and really doing a good job getting the message out. the republican, a very well- known figure in the state. this is the fourth time he is run for major office. he has not been successful in the past, despite the fact that he had much greater name recognition. he just has not been able to catch her in the polls. the polls go back and forth on each of those. it is a rematch of the congressional
for president obama amongst latinos is through the roof. if you look pacquiao -- look back at the latino poll that just came out, enthusiasm is hired now that it was -- enthusiasm is higher now than it was in 2008. there is no doubt that it will have a huge impact. the more that latinos and turn out, they can have a much bigger impact in this election than in any other previous election we have had. host: independent caller from garland, texas. your on the air. caller: can i go ahead with my question? host: please do. caller: hello? host: i'm going to put you on hold. you've got to turn the television down. laurie in houston, texas, democratic caller. caller: i would like to thank the host for informing one of the callers that your show is not paid for by the government. it seems to be a lot of people who call in our very uninformed. i feel like i'm hearing a lot of comments that come from? news. i also feel that -- that come from fox news. i also feel that the president is doing a great job. have people from what happened before he came into the office where the stock market was crashing? mi
that the obama campaign was relying on to get the voters out to the polls. you also argue that mitt romney is the one who has ground to make up in a crucial swing states, like ohio and virginia. it will make it difficult for him. right now it is hard to tell whose campaign is going to be most affected. host: early voting, are you looking at how the race to get those votes in the bank before election day rolls around might be impacted? caller: we are. most of the states do not have early voting. pennsylvania, for example, does not have early voting. virginia does not allow it unless you have a special exception that allows you to vote absentee before the election. north carolina, which is an early casualty of hurricane sandy, has early voting. the question of just, basically, which ones are going to be affected most, it is hard to say. maryland suspended early voting today. and the other hand, that is a safely blue state, so that will probably not impact the outcome. host: jody rights in -- host: are the campaign's looking at what kind of impact of this could have in terms of big repercussi
and millions of people that they expect or hope they can drive out to the polls to vote for obama. host: molly ball is a staff writer covering national politics at "the atlantic," they're talk to us about the ground game for both candidates. you can read her work at theatlantic.com/politics. pick up the phone and give us a call. 202-585-3881 for republicans. 202-585-3880 for democrats. independents, 202-585-3882. you can also reach out to us via social media. twitter, facebook, and email. so, tell us, where is the ground gaming best and for whom? guest: well, what i did, in reporting this story, i went out and visited field offices in a bunch of different swing states. what i tried to do was pick sort of a random, maybe sort of a swing county, but to go to the same place for both campaigns, and to drop in unannounced and to see what i could see. so, instead of getting some kind of tour, where you tend to get sort of a dog and pony show, just to show up and see what was there. and what you see is not only is there a quantitative difference, because obama has over 800 of these field offices, con
up on mitt romney's chances and work as fortifying the republican base. and then president obama decided to not through his first debate in denver. and after that event, the democrats saw a similar drop in the polls. they saw it across the board. not just with the presidency. but with the house, the senate. this a late moment, some kind of game changing moment like that can have a serious impact still. but since we had two back-to- back, i think even out at the end. but mitt romney was at his lowest moment after the 47% video came out. and obama was at his lowest out to the debate in denver. host: what about the storm. this is the washington times. in game changer. they put sandy as number one. guest: i think of is a good point. i think there is a big risk when any kind of storm bruise. and almost anywhere in the country, american history is complete with mayors and governors who have all snowstorm as badly and ended up losing elections the next year. george w. bush's approval rating never recovered dr. the mishandling of katrina. this is a big risk for obama. his got to show tha
. he shows up in polls at 1% or 2%, but people tend to respond to polls more favorably to third-party candidates than they act on election day and it is behavior on election day that matters. if virginia turns out to be 10,000 votes between romney and obama and virgil goode its 25,000 votes, you could make the argument he might have cost mitt romney the state. but otherwise i doubt it. and there is a liberal candidate, jill stein, the green party candidate. i doubt she gets a very much support. >> a few minutes left with our guest larry sabato -- host: a few minutes left for our guests larry sabato. hi, rose. caller: i am so glad to get on to talk with you. i have issues if i could take a little time. it is called the koch brothers issues. there was a national geographic documentary and i am quoting a lot of it, where they were born and raised in russia and they inherited a lot of money and they are actually communists. so all the republican party kind of liens on their side. money is not given away -- some people just give money away or they loan it to you, but if you are going
Search Results 0 to 11 of about 12 (some duplicates have been removed)

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